Major Konarasinghe Mudiyanselage Udaya Banda Konarasinghe MBA

Major Konarasinghe Mudiyanselage Udaya Banda Konarasinghe, an award-winning Scientist, has served as a Research Consultant and a Lecturer over the last decade. He is a distinguished researcher in the fields of Tourism and Hospitality Management, Econometrics, and Biological and healthcare research. He is an expert in Time Series Modelling and Forecasting and has made an unparalleled contribution to combating the COVID-19 pandemic.

He is an entrepreneur who has taken the initiative to the Institute of Mathematics and Management, Sri Lanka, which provides a unique service in Education and Research. The Sama Circular Model (SCM) is a recent development in the field of Stochastic Modelling. The SCM is capable of capturing all the components (Trend, Seasonal, and Cyclical) of a time series with the least effort. The SCM separates many seasonal and/ or cyclical behaviors in a time series. It has been widely applied in the fields of Finance, Economics, Tourism and hospitality, etc., and has proven its superiority among other statistical forecasting methods. Yet the SCM had never been applied in the field of Epidemiology until Major Udaya did in modeling COVID-19-infected cases. He showed that the SCM is the most successful technique in forecasting daily infected cases in many countries.

Further, he identified a damped and forced type of oscillations in the time series of infected cases during the COVID-19 pandemic. Hence in 2021, Major Udaya and his fellow researchers developed two new forecasting techniques, named “Damped Circular Model and Forced Circular Model”.

Major Udaya won the Outstanding Paper Award at the 14th International Conference on Business Management (ICBM), University of Sri Jayawardanapura of Sri Lanka in 2017.

He was invited to share his knowledge and experience as the keynote speaker at international research forums in Germany, Dubai, and Italy, and several sessions in Thailand. He is a member of the Senior Scientist Forum in the National Science and Technology Commission (NASTEC), Sri Lanka, and the National Science Foundation (NSF), Sri Lanka. He is the Editorial Manager of, the Journal of New Frontiers in Mathematics & Statistics, Economics & Business; Healthcare & Biological Sciences; Education & Social Sciences, published by the IMM of Sri Lanka.

He is one of the Reviewers of the International Journal of Statistics and Mathematics, Premier Publishers, Nigeria, Cogent Economics and Finance, Taylor and Francis Group, United Kingdom, SAGE Open journal, Sage Publications, USA and the Sri Lankan Journal of Anaesthesiology of Sri Lanka.